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EuroMillions win probability by tier: the real numbers

EuroMillions win odds by tier: 1 in X for the jackpot, 5+1, 5+0, 4+2… Summary table and link to prizes by tier. Fetix.

Published on 2026-02-02·Updated on 2026-09-152 min read
Probability concept (numbers)

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Winning numbers, jackpots and prizes by tier, draw after draw since 2004.

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At a glance

  • Each tier (5+2, 5+1, 5+0, 4+2, etc.) has fixed odds set by the game rules.
  • Jackpot (5+2): order of magnitude 1 in ~139 million.
  • Winning “something” (from tier 13 upwards) is much more common; see prize examples on EuroMillions prizes by tier.

1) Orders of magnitude by tier

Tier Match Odds (order of magnitude)
1 5 + 2 Lucky Stars 1 / ~139,000,000
2 5 + 1 Lucky Star 1 / ~6,000,000
3 5 + 0 Lucky Stars 1 / ~3,000,000
4 4 + 2 Lucky Stars 1 / ~600,000
5 4 + 1 Lucky Star 1 / ~135,000
6 4 + 0 Lucky Stars 1 / ~22,000
7 3 + 2 Lucky Stars 1 / ~9,800
8 3 + 1 Lucky Star 1 / ~1,400
… … …

Exact figures: National Lottery / EuroMillions odds by tier. Takeaway: the more main numbers and stars you need, the rarer the tier.

2) What is this for?

  • Understand why the jackpot is so hard and why small wins are more common.
  • Compare with other games: different games use different formats and odds (always read the operator’s page).

3) Check tickets and see prizes

FAQ

What is the exact jackpot probability?
Is one game “easier” than another?
How many numbers to win “something” on EuroMillions?
Why does the table above stop at tier 8?
Is tier 2 (1 in ~6 million) really 20 times more likely than the jackpot?

Disclaimer

EuroMillions is a game of chance. Fetix does not sell tickets and does not promise any win. Official rules are those of the National Lottery in the UK.

Sources