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EuroMillions win probability by tier: the real numbers

EuroMillions win odds by tier: 1 in X for the jackpot, 5+1, 5+0, 4+2… Summary table and link to prizes by tier. Fetix.

Published on 2026-02-02·Updated on 2026-09-152 min read
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At a glance

  • Each tier (5+2, 5+1, 5+0, 4+2, etc.) has fixed odds set by the game rules.
  • Jackpot (5+2): order of magnitude 1 in ~139 million.
  • Winning “something” (from tier 13 upwards) is much more common; see prize examples on EuroMillions prizes by tier.

1) Orders of magnitude by tier

Tier Match Odds (order of magnitude)
1 5 + 2 Lucky Stars 1 / ~139,000,000
2 5 + 1 Lucky Star 1 / ~6,000,000
3 5 + 0 Lucky Stars 1 / ~3,000,000
4 4 + 2 Lucky Stars 1 / ~600,000
5 4 + 1 Lucky Star 1 / ~135,000
6 4 + 0 Lucky Stars 1 / ~22,000
7 3 + 2 Lucky Stars 1 / ~9,800
8 3 + 1 Lucky Star 1 / ~1,400

Exact figures: National Lottery / EuroMillions odds by tier. Takeaway: the more main numbers and stars you need, the rarer the tier.

2) What is this for?

  • Understand why the jackpot is so hard and why small wins are more common.
  • Compare with other games: different games use different formats and odds (always read the operator’s page).

3) Check tickets and see prizes

FAQ

What is the exact jackpot probability?

About 1 in 139,838,160 for tier 1 (5+2) on a single line. Details on national-lottery.co.uk and in EuroMillions odds by tier.

Is one game “easier” than another?

Jackpot odds depend on each game’s format. Compare official odds side by side on the operator’s site.

How many numbers to win “something” on EuroMillions?

From 2 main numbers (tier 13) upwards, depending on stars. Detail: How many numbers to win something on EuroMillions?.

Why does the table above stop at tier 8?

To keep it readable: beyond that point, the odds get higher (so more common) and less useful to break out here. The full table is on EuroMillions odds by tier.

Is tier 2 (1 in ~6 million) really 20 times more likely than the jackpot?

Yes, precisely: 139 million divided by about 6 million gives a factor close to 23, consistent with the gap between "5+2 stars" and "5+1 star".

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Disclaimer

EuroMillions is a game of chance. Fetix does not sell tickets and does not promise any win. Official rules are those of the National Lottery in the UK.

Sources